In the evaluationof
the Brazilian aviculture
sector, there is chance
to recover in 2017 the
results that have not
been achieved in 2016
Paving the
MORE FAVORABLE
The consumption of chicken meat in
Brazil is projected to go up 2.8% a year, ac-
cording to figures contained in the publi-
cation “Agribusiness Projections – Brazil
2014/2015 to 2024/2025”, released by the
Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food
Supply (Mapa). The studywas conducted by
Mapa’s Strategic Management Advisory De-
partment, jointly with the Brazilian Agricul-
tural Research Corporation (Embrapa).
Should it confirm, it will translate into an
increase of 32.1% in consumption over the
next 10 years. National demand for chicken
meat projected for 2025 reaches 11.9 mil-
lion tons. With the total population project-
ed by the Brazilian Institute of Geography
andStatistics (IBGE) at 218.3million people,
at the final point of the projections there will
be a consumption of 54.7 kg/person/year.
Considering the three types of meat, chick-
en meat will have the biggest increase, with
pork growing 30.5%and beef, 17.8%.
With regard to exports, projections indi-
cate substantial increases for the three types
of meat under analysis. Estimates are point-
ing to a favorable picture for Brazilian ex-
ports. Chickenmeat and pork lead the annual
growth rates of exports over the next years –
the annual rate anticipated for chicken meat
is3.6%;forpork,itis3.7%;andexportsofbeef
should reachanannual average of 3.3%.
Meat exports at the end of the project-
ed periods should go up by 2.7 million tons.
Of this amount, 1.7 million tons – that is to
say, 62.7% - should consist of chickenmeat.
The remaining amounts correspond to the
following proportion: beef, 28.8%; and pork,
8.4%. For chicken meat, major destinations
include Saudi Arabia, the European Union
(UE 28), Japan, China, the United Arab Emir-
ates, Hong Kong and Venezuela.
Brazilian aviculture should finish 2016
with results lagging behind the numbers an-
ticipated for the year. Nevertheless, even be-
fore coming to an end, the leaderships of the
aviculture sector announced that recovery
would start in 2017. The Brazilian Association
of Animal Protein (ABPA) had anticipated a to-
tal chicken meat production of 13.5 million
tons for 2016, but updated the projection to
13 million tons. Exports are pointing to ship-
ments abroad totaling 4.5 million tons, up 5%
from the record shipped in 2015. However,
from January through October 2016, revenue
frombroiler exports totaled US$ 5.748 billion,
down 3.57% from the previous year.
In the evaluation of ABPA executive presi-
dent Francisco Turra, 2016 was a challenging
year, with good numbers in production and
sales terms, but with a 3.6-percent drop in rev-
enue. “The deceleration of national consump-
tion required efforts from the entity to main-
tain the jobs of theworkers, whilst seeking new
commercial partners, like South Korea, third
biggest pork consumer in theworld”, he says.
Nevertheless, Turra maintains that avi-
culture will continue as flagship of Brazil’s
food safety assurance, whilst ranking as the
most produced and exported protein. On
that occasion, in October 2016, he antici-
pated a new economic moment for Brazil.
“However, we need to grow in sustainable
manner, keeping a close watch on the na-
tional and global trends with regard to the
consumption profile”, he noted.
Brazil is supposed to keep its position
as biggest exporter of chicken meat in the
world. In Turra’s view, this insertion results
from the unique sanitary status and produc-
tion focused on sustainability, thus supply-
ing the world with products of high qual-
ity. “This is what forces us to analyze the
courses we will assume over the coming
years, keeping our role as income genera-
tor, besides ensuring our domestic supply”,
he commented. Global demand for meat
should rise 1.4% a year until 2025, accord-
ing to international agencies, like Rabobank.
“The competence of the sector and the
good grain crops are bringing aviculture
back to a positive phase”, said Domingos
Martins, president of the Paraná State Union
of Aviculture Products (Sindiavipar). He be-
lieves that the resumption of the economy
forecast for 2017 will be an opportunity for
aviculture to increase its sales at home and
abroad. In Paraná, the production and ex-
ports of chicken meat are estimated to be
8.5% bigger in 2016. The State is the biggest
producer and exporter of the product, ac-
counting for upwards of one third of the to-
tal supply and exports by the Country.
way
Inor Ag. Assmann
44
